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Skinny predicts 2010 campaign will be Gross vs. Vander Plaats
King is not running any sort of campaign and it is too late to do anything but buy media. McCain has essentially pulled out of Iowa, so he will not be running a big GOTV operation in the Fifth, or any, district.
Meanwhile, Rob Hubler has an aggressive field campaign, is raising money rapidly, and has polling that shows King is really vulnerable. A little more cash for late media and you will be redefining your terms.